The Secure World Foundation’s Global Counterspace Capabilities 2026, an annual open-source assessment of space warfare developments, documents a year in which GNSS interference shifted from an episodic threat to a persistent feature of conflict zones on multiple continents.
Institutional Escalation: ICAO and ITU Act
The most significant development for the GNSS community may be regulatory rather than technical. In October 2025, the International Civil Aviation Organization passed a resolution condemning GNSS interference originating from both Russia and North Korea as violations of the 1944 Convention on International Civil Aviation. The following month, the ITU’s Radio Regulations Board, at its 100th meeting, again urged Russia to “immediately cease any source of harmful interference” to safety services in the Radio Navigation Satellite Service — specifically interference affecting receivers in Estonia, Finland, Latvia, and Lithuania originating from Russian territory.
The Baltic situation had intensified steadily through the year. Lithuania coordinated a letter signed by 17 EU transport and digital ministers in June 2025 calling for a coordinated European Commission response. The European Council’s own data showed aircraft GNSS interference cases in Poland rising from 1,908 in October 2024 to 2,732 by January 2025. Estonia announced in July 2025 that Russia had moved jamming equipment to a site at Kingissepp, 20 kilometers from its border, and reported that GPS jamming had caused over €500,000 in damage in the preceding three months alone. Sweden’s Department of Transport stated that interference over the Baltic was occurring “almost daily” and had spread “both geographically and in scope.”
Active Conflict: Iran, India-Pakistan, Israel
The SWF report also documents the operational deployment of GNSS interference in three distinct conflict contexts in 2025.
During Iran’s 12-day war with Israel in June 2025, Iran jammed GPS over multiple metropolitan areas to counter drone and missile threats. Iran’s Deputy Communications Minister publicly acknowledged the disruptions were “for military and security purposes.” The Maritime Information Cooperation and Awareness Center estimated that 970 ships per day experienced GPS jamming in the Strait of Hormuz during this period, causing traffic through the Strait to drop by 20 percent as vessels limited transits to daylight hours. The report adds a technically notable January 2026 data point: during protests in Iran, Starlink ground terminals were found to have had their GPS units spoofed, causing packet losses of 30 to 80 percent. Users who switched to Starlink’s internal position estimates restored connectivity; SpaceX subsequently pushed a software update to mitigate the interference.
In South Asia, during India’s Operation Sindoor against Pakistan in May 2025, Indian electronic warfare forces were deployed specifically to interfere with GNSS signals to hamper Pakistani military aircraft navigation. The report notes that GPS spoofing has since migrated from the border zone into civilian airspace: more than 10 percent of flights in the Delhi region have reported spoofing incidents, and in November 2025 interference around Indira Gandhi International Airport was severe enough to divert flights to alternate airports.
Israel, for its part, entered into a formal commitment at the ITU in late 2025 to limit RNSS-interfering transmissions to situations involving imminent threats to life or critical infrastructure, capped at 15 minutes per incident — following a July 2025 meeting with Jordan and Egypt convened under ITU auspices.
The LEO Dimension
Perhaps the most technically striking finding for GNSS engineers: the report cites Aerospace Corporation research from July 2025 indicating that GPS jamming over Ukraine has created what researchers described as “a giant hole” in GPS coverage for small LEO satellites carrying onboard GPS receivers for position, navigation, and timing. The jamming environment over a conflict zone is now affecting space-segment PNT — not just ground users.
The Secure World Foundation’s Global Counterspace Capabilities 2026 is available here.
